Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.512598 3.733386 3.968709 4.239552 4.544405 4.879012 5.276964
2024-10-13 3.155754 3.441000 3.759414 4.145296 4.606075 5.146470 5.840528
2024-10-20 2.877730 3.198664 3.569809 4.038411 4.626067 5.356219 6.363127
2024-10-27 2.634072 2.971596 3.372895 3.896632 4.580938 5.475152 6.791953
2024-11-03 2.539176 2.912736 3.371142 3.993127 4.847368 6.037557 7.952648
2024-11-10 2.476947 2.887516 3.407189 4.140577 5.202091 6.789961 9.630394
2024-11-17 2.341839 2.758789 3.297418 4.078035 5.250158 7.097232 10.689142
2024-11-24 2.211837 2.627620 3.173671 3.982566 5.235432 7.302040 11.646499
2024-12-01 2.107754 2.523966 3.079248 3.919489 5.261658 7.582127 12.894523
2024-12-08 2.021525 2.438915 3.004147 3.877164 5.314792 7.922771 14.477651
2024-12-15 1.976103 2.406345 2.999952 3.941021 5.553565 8.676978 17.696619
2024-12-22 1.874660 2.290875 2.869239 3.795457 5.407724 8.615578 18.465448
2024-12-29 1.820424 2.246707 2.851108 3.847499 5.663889 9.586887 24.410261
2025-01-05 1.738330 2.158761 2.762518 3.776642 5.682939 10.043303 29.522359
2025-01-12 1.659888 2.072170 2.670663 3.692236 5.664943 10.420352 35.713973
2025-01-19 1.580292 1.980195 2.565241 3.575574 5.565732 10.559447 41.451595
2025-01-26 1.553542 1.964009 2.575731 3.662398 5.911319 12.180114 76.648093
2025-02-02 1.537041 1.961840 2.607836 3.792139 6.387827 14.656123 305.098087
2025-02-09 1.485253 1.903841 2.546187 3.740881 6.431113 15.602039 2718.570249
2025-02-16 1.431707 1.840830 2.472767 3.660476 6.389060 16.192472 NaN
2025-02-23 1.387055 1.789586 2.415953 3.607362 6.408755 17.135395 NaN
2025-03-02 1.348658 1.746381 2.370122 3.571769 6.469424 18.402456 NaN
2025-03-09 1.328863 1.731090 2.370118 3.627886 6.795603 21.735880 NaN